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Trader

0x70c47d0a125e3d25352ffeb19c7ad0e6189b1008
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$55
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$11
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
87%
118W / 17L · 9 open
Win Return (30d)
85%
123W / 21L
Trades (30d)
144
across 96 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.63
avg win $6 · loss $28
Profit Factor
0.88
$418 won / $473 lost
Reward / Risk
0.21
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$73
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,144 · all-time $662,805

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 86.5% 919W/143L 442 $130,253
🌤 Weather 70.4% 38W/16L 61 $1,066

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

37 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 5? No 42 1.000 $41.65 $21.65 +108.2%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 5? No 40 0.990 $39.60 $19.60 +98.0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 5? No 38 1.000 $38.44 $18.44 +92.2%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 5? No 38 1.000 $38.09 $18.09 +90.5%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 5? No 38 1.000 $37.72 $17.72 +88.6%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 5? No 37 0.997 $36.89 $16.89 +84.4%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 5? No 36 0.996 $35.79 $15.79 +79.0%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 5? No 36 1.000 $35.70 $15.70 +78.5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 5? No 33 1.000 $33.02 $13.02 +65.1%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 37°C on August 5? No 32 0.900 $28.57 $8.57 +42.9%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 5? No 29 0.840 $24.43 $4.43 +22.2%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5? No 78 0.295 $23.08 $3.08 +15.4%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 5? No 32 0.675 $21.83 $1.83 +9.1%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 5? No 38 0.565 $21.32 $1.32 +6.6%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 5? No 43 0.500 $21.28 $1.28 +6.4%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 5? No 43 0.470 $20.43 $0.43 +2.2%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on August 5? No 30 0.665 $20.23 $0.23 +1.2%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 5? No 39 0.505 $19.80 $-0.20 -1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 5? No 49 0.405 $19.66 $-0.34 -1.7%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 5? No 29 0.665 $19.27 $-0.73 -3.7%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5? No 36 0.520 $18.91 $-1.09 -5.5%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 5? No 28 0.660 $18.33 $2.78 +17.9%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 5? No 47 0.370 $17.26 $-2.74 -13.7%
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 5? No 44 0.380 $16.89 $-3.11 -15.6%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 5? No 38 0.395 $15.19 $-4.81 -24.0%