PnL (30d)

+$532

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$40

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+11.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

97%

37W / 1L · 10 open

Win Return (30d)

88%

42W / 6L

Trades (30d)

48

across 11 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$88.65

avg win $117 · loss $55

Profit Factor

10.72

$587 won / $55 lost

Reward / Risk

2.14

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	97.5% 39W/1L	15	$6,912
🏛 Politics	100.0% 14W/0L	4	$2,049

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	322	0.936	$301.63	$1.45	+0.5%
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?	Yes	5	0.780	$3.92	$-0.25	-6.0%
Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	1	0.935	$1.04	$0.04	+3.9%
Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	1	0.865	$1.01	$0.01	+0.6%