PnL (30d)

−$122

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$6

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

63%

38W / 22L · 211 open

Win Return (30d)

58%

158W / 113L

Trades (30d)

271

across 62 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$6.77

avg win $27 · loss $40

Profit Factor

0.66

$239 won / $361 lost

Reward / Risk

0.66

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	63.3% 38W/22L	62	$8,807
🏛 Politics	—	14	$1,016

Open positions

21 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	132	0.770	$101.32	$1.32	+1.3%
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?	No	139	0.665	$92.36	$-7.64	-7.6%
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	No	208	0.435	$90.62	$-9.37	-9.4%
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?	No	130	0.445	$57.85	$-8.45	-12.7%
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?	No	108	0.535	$57.60	$7.60	+15.2%
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?	No	74	0.770	$57.20	$2.97	+5.5%
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?	No	122	0.415	$50.61	$0.61	+1.2%
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?	No	80	0.625	$50.00	$-12.40	-19.9%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?	No	60	0.815	$49.09	$-0.91	-1.8%
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?	No	82	0.570	$46.78	$-3.22	-6.4%
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	No	57	0.625	$35.90	$-1.12	-3.0%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	63	0.455	$28.50	$-2.82	-9.0%
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	No	91	0.280	$25.41	$-15.19	-37.4%
Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30?	No	31	0.725	$22.71	$-0.78	-3.3%
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?	No	7	0.745	$5.52	$2.56	+86.2%
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?	No	7	0.435	$3.21	$-0.18	-5.4%
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?	No	3	0.875	$2.67	$0.39	+17.2%
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by September 30, 2026?	No	3	0.820	$2.37	$0.23	+10.8%
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31?	No	2	0.815	$2.02	$0.19	+10.1%
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?	No	3	0.455	$1.56	$-0.71	-31.4%
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	No	3	0.275	$0.94	$-0.73	-43.9%