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Trader

0x700974a3cddf529e577753934d291174d285390a
PnL (30d)
+$13
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
88%
14W / 2L · 103 open
Win Return (30d)
65%
77W / 41L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
119
across 83 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$2.12
avg win $7 · loss $22
Profit Factor
1.59
$34 won / $22 lost
Reward / Risk
0.32
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $26,257

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 87.5% 14W/2L 83 $275
🏛 Politics 1 $15

Open positions

194 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? Yes 40 0.980 $39.18 $19.18 +95.9%
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? Yes 40 0.974 $38.96 $18.96 +94.8%
Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election? Yes 40 0.936 $37.46 $17.46 +87.3%
Will Michele Tafoya be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota? Yes 30 0.974 $29.21 $27.63 +1749.7%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? Yes 29 0.982 $28.63 $27.77 +3238.9%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 30 0.940 $28.18 $27.52 +4127.8%
Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? Yes 30 0.915 $27.45 $12.45 +83.0%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 27 0.952 $26.09 $25.23 +2946.4%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 30 0.855 $25.65 $24.77 +2807.1%
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes 35 0.730 $25.55 $22.86 +849.0%
Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 30 0.842 $25.25 $10.24 +68.3%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? Yes 30 0.835 $25.05 $23.80 +1904.0%
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? Yes 31 0.810 $24.76 $23.91 +2816.1%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 30 0.823 $24.68 $24.15 +4588.5%
Will Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? Yes 30 0.770 $23.10 $8.10 +54.0%
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? Yes 30 0.700 $21.00 $19.85 +1720.0%
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? Yes 24 0.873 $20.85 $16.87 +423.5%
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Yes 30 0.685 $20.55 $19.19 +1407.0%
Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election? Yes 30 0.660 $19.80 $17.49 +758.0%
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? Yes 30 0.585 $17.55 $2.55 +17.0%
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? Yes 21 0.775 $16.14 $5.73 +55.0%
Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08? Yes 30 0.530 $16.10 $14.07 +695.0%
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7? Yes 20 0.800 $16.00 $13.78 +620.0%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 25 0.635 $15.76 $3.35 +27.0%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 33 0.460 $15.13 $14.87 +5781.9%