PnL (30d)

−$9,517

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$944

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-16.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

36%

383W / 691L · 315 open

Win Return (30d)

39%

548W / 840L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

1,389

across 332 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$48.31

avg win $87 · loss $188

Profit Factor

0.48

$8,725 won / $18,242 lost

Reward / Risk

0.46

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$235

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	35.7% 383W/691L	332	$78,358
💵 Economy	49.2% 31W/32L	118	$10,063
₿ Crypto	58.5% 31W/22L	107	$8,272
🏛 Politics	54.5% 12W/10L	7	$1,617
🎬 Culture	100.0% 12W/0L	6	$1,502
🌤 Weather	—	1	$3
🔬 Science	—	1	$3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	727	0.855	$621.55	$258.07	+71.0%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in August?	Yes	1,243	0.495	$615.42	$271.36	+78.9%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at >$295 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?	No	565	0.909	$513.87	$-27.03	-5.0%
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	810	0.625	$506.24	$-37.15	-6.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?	Yes	1,824	0.255	$465.07	$286.16	+159.9%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in August?	Yes	2,205	0.185	$407.86	$165.17	+68.1%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in August?	Yes	1,165	0.335	$390.31	$179.87	+85.5%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in August?	Yes	1,389	0.250	$347.19	$222.76	+179.0%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	350	0.982	$343.51	$37.50	+12.3%
Will Solana reach $90 in August?	Yes	2,800	0.120	$336.00	$28.00	+9.1%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	593	0.560	$332.25	$169.89	+104.6%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	1,030	0.320	$329.51	$49.06	+17.5%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in August?	Yes	1,872	0.170	$318.19	$166.65	+110.0%
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $270 in August?	No	245	0.988	$242.06	$-0.49	-0.2%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	241	0.994	$239.43	$19.43	+8.8%
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.10 Week of August 3 2026?	No	225	0.998	$224.06	$3.99	+1.8%
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in August?	No	225	0.983	$221.06	$2.41	+1.1%
Will Solana reach $80 in August?	Yes	445	0.480	$213.60	$17.80	+9.1%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	200	1.000	$199.90	$4.70	+2.4%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August?	Yes	476	0.410	$195.27	$-123.83	-38.8%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	355	0.485	$172.17	$-21.15	-10.9%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 in August?	Yes	178	0.935	$166.43	$64.97	+64.0%
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?	Yes	436	0.360	$156.96	$82.84	+111.8%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 in August?	No	270	0.565	$152.52	$-41.88	-21.5%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in August?	Yes	494	0.305	$150.67	$-46.47	-23.6%