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Trader leaderboard/makersea

makersea

0x6fbde2f02e542ea3c1db20bf6e45c9a09272b8d3
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$10
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$4
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+13.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
86%
18W / 3L · 12 open
Win Return (30d)
70%
23W / 10L
Trades (30d)
33
across 14 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$1.40
avg win $2 · loss $1
Profit Factor
10.13
$11 won / $1 lost
Reward / Risk
4.05
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $264 · all-time $313,334

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 65.3% 160W/85L 164 $1,056
⚽ Sports 81.0% 17W/4L 10 $190
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/2L 1 $10
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/2L 1 $10

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

40 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No 191 0.675 $129.25 $16.28 +14.4%
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? No 75 0.805 $60.21 $29.95 +99.0%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner LGD Gaming 55 0.500 $27.72 $9.44 +51.7%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 122 0.165 $20.13 $-26.23 -56.6%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 205 0.095 $19.45 $-111.55 -85.2%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 23 0.785 $18.26 $13.44 +278.8%
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? No 17 0.994 $16.44 $7.26 +79.1%
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic 11 0.895 $9.97 $1.06 +11.9%
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs ASTRAL (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group B ASTRAL 12 0.500 $6.15 $-0.12 -2.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 30 0.160 $4.88 $0.56 +13.0%
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No 6 0.715 $4.16 $1.01 +32.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? Yes 29 0.135 $3.92 $0.14 +3.8%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? Yes 5 0.705 $3.60 $1.05 +41.0%
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Verdant 7 0.500 $3.54 $-0.78 -18.0%
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage Game Hunters 6 0.500 $3.02 $-0.66 -17.8%
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs Atreides 6 0.500 $2.87 $0.23 +8.7%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 4 0.695 $2.87 $1.55 +117.2%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No 3 0.930 $2.86 $0.40 +16.2%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes 11 0.255 $2.81 $-0.60 -17.7%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? No 3 0.875 $2.80 $1.39 +98.9%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 4 Winner KT Rolster 6 0.500 $2.75 $0.88 +47.1%
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes 19 0.145 $2.71 $-2.15 -44.2%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? Yes 4 0.625 $2.50 $1.14 +83.8%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? Yes 10 0.230 $2.19 $-1.79 -45.0%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? Yes 7 0.295 $2.12 $-0.40 -15.7%