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Trader leaderboard/Oklmntrader

Oklmntrader

0x6f679c4a78330853ac7762a1cda0a469333f102c
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1,612
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$15
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-19.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
30%
577W / 1,355L · 283 open
Win Return (30d)
30%
582W / 1,365L · 268 open
Trades (30d)
2,215
across 444 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$4.54
avg win $1 · loss $7
Profit Factor
0.04
$74 won / $1,686 lost
Reward / Risk
0.12
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$32
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $226,490 · all-time $7,199,619

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 27.5% 4,319W/11,403L 5534 $491,938
🏛 Politics 30.1% 77W/179L 380 $25,597
💵 Economy 50.8% 63W/61L 285 $17,047
🎬 Culture 40.5% 47W/69L 159 $8,817
⚽ Sports 5.0% 1W/19L 146 $9,186
₿ Crypto 35.0% 14W/26L 119 $6,884
🤖 Tech 68.0% 17W/8L 77 $6,472
🌤 Weather 12.0% 3W/22L 9 $392
🔬 Science 4 $165

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings? No 388 0.955 $370.06 $269.31 +267.3%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? Yes 1,341 0.125 $167.65 $-15.78 -8.6%
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No 151 0.920 $139.05 $9.07 +7.0%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat? Yes 140 0.905 $127.07 $-0.70 -0.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-05 House seat? No 140 0.905 $127.07 $-0.70 -0.5%
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31? No 138 0.845 $116.67 $-7.59 -6.1%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-04 House seat? No 565 0.205 $115.87 $-14.13 -10.9%
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No 419 0.275 $115.32 $-14.68 -11.3%
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? No 382 0.300 $114.70 $-15.29 -11.8%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-48 House seat? Yes 1,083 0.105 $113.75 $-16.25 -12.5%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-10 House seat? No 867 0.130 $112.67 $-17.33 -13.3%
Will the Democratic Party win the MS-02 House seat? No 1,294 0.085 $109.99 $-19.41 -15.0%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-27 House seat? No 1,204 0.090 $108.33 $-21.67 -16.7%
Will Jack Grealish join Everton? Yes 249 0.435 $108.21 $8.71 +8.7%
Will Dak Prescott win the 2026 NFL MVP? No 116 0.921 $107.30 $-1.92 -1.8%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No 257 0.415 $106.71 $-1.29 -1.2%
Will Yelp (YELP) beat quarterly earnings? No 500 0.205 $102.50 $-27.50 -21.2%
Will 100 Thieves Qualify to VCT Champs 2026? No 196 0.520 $102.00 $17.65 +20.9%
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? Yes 320 0.318 $101.60 $2.56 +2.6%
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? No 1,300 0.078 $101.40 $-28.60 -22.0%
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No 118 0.860 $101.36 $-4.71 -4.4%
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No 229 0.440 $100.83 $-2.29 -2.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-25 House seat? No 113 0.885 $100.30 $-1.70 -1.7%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-10 House seat? No 113 0.875 $99.16 $-2.83 -2.8%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat? No 1,444 0.069 $98.94 $-31.06 -23.9%