PnL (30d)

−$74

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$15

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

75%

3W / 1L · 13 open

Win Return (30d)

47%

8W / 9L

Trades (30d)

17

across 13 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$18.58

avg win $20 · loss $134

Profit Factor

0.45

$60 won / $134 lost

Reward / Risk

0.15

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	75.0% 3W/1L	13	$4,394
🏛 Politics	—	1	$338
₿ Crypto	—	1	$376
💵 Economy	—	1	$622

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	1,067	0.935	$997.89	$-2.11	-0.2%
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	940	0.935	$878.49	$17.49	+2.0%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	700	0.886	$620.55	$-1.05	-0.2%
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1,000	0.595	$595.01	$5.00	+0.8%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	382	0.954	$364.57	$0.57	+0.2%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1,717	0.184	$316.71	$-102.62	-24.5%
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	322	0.595	$191.35	$11.35	+6.3%
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	59	0.945	$55.63	$1.47	+2.7%
Will Dogecoin reach $0.36 by December 31, 2026?	No	53	0.950	$50.50	$2.66	+5.6%
Will the Ottawa Senators be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	1,668	0.019	$32.52	$4.62	+16.5%