| UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? |
No |
650 |
0.961 |
$623.84 |
$-4.62 |
-0.7% |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
500 |
0.966 |
$483.00 |
$142.00 |
+41.6% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
537 |
0.875 |
$470.28 |
$3.81 |
+0.8% |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? |
Yes |
349 |
0.855 |
$298.63 |
$-3.74 |
-1.2% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
301 |
0.690 |
$207.87 |
$-2.96 |
-1.4% |
| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? |
No |
170 |
0.845 |
$143.65 |
$-15.55 |
-9.8% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
2,650 |
0.050 |
$131.18 |
$-14.57 |
-10.0% |
| Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? |
Yes |
179 |
0.690 |
$123.30 |
$-12.65 |
-9.3% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
120 |
0.977 |
$117.18 |
$7.98 |
+7.3% |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? |
No |
130 |
0.760 |
$98.80 |
$9.80 |
+11.0% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
97 |
0.938 |
$91.24 |
$3.06 |
+3.5% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
200 |
0.325 |
$65.00 |
$-3.00 |
-4.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026? |
Yes |
70 |
0.915 |
$63.73 |
$-2.44 |
-3.7% |
| Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 30,000-40,000? |
No |
80 |
0.770 |
$61.60 |
$-8.00 |
-11.5% |
| Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? |
Yes |
337 |
0.155 |
$52.24 |
$-55.91 |
-51.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
145 |
0.335 |
$48.73 |
$-17.27 |
-26.2% |
| Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? |
Yes |
40 |
0.967 |
$38.68 |
$0.16 |
+0.4% |
| Will Trump nationalize elections? |
No |
40 |
0.895 |
$35.79 |
$6.20 |
+20.9% |
| Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? |
Yes |
57 |
0.600 |
$34.25 |
$3.12 |
+10.0% |
| Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? |
Yes |
40 |
0.695 |
$27.80 |
$-1.80 |
-6.1% |
| Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? |
No |
92 |
0.225 |
$20.68 |
$9.65 |
+87.5% |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? |
Yes |
247 |
0.082 |
$20.12 |
$-39.56 |
-66.3% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
Yes |
90 |
0.210 |
$18.90 |
$-24.30 |
-56.2% |
| Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? |
Yes |
13 |
0.890 |
$11.77 |
$-0.53 |
-4.3% |
| Will Pauline Hanson wear a burqa again in 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.180 |
$9.02 |
$-1.50 |
-14.3% |