PnL (30d)

−$26

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$378

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

45%

13W / 16L · 48 open

Win Return (30d)

73%

56W / 21L

Trades (30d)

77

across 18 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$5.23

avg win $48 · loss $41

Profit Factor

0.79

$96 won / $123 lost

Reward / Risk

1.18

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	63.6% 161W/92L	64	$27,524
₿ Crypto	33.3% 1W/2L	12	$2,333
💵 Economy	33.3% 1W/2L	6	$1,391
🤖 Tech	—	4	$775

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

24 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	853	0.665	$567.28	$7.26	+1.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.545	$545.00	$56.60	+11.6%
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?	No	523	0.885	$462.92	$2.85	+0.6%
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in August?	No	500	0.845	$422.49	$2.50	+0.6%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	700	0.495	$346.50	$27.50	+8.6%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?	No	380	0.735	$279.30	$4.43	+1.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?	No	300	0.925	$277.50	$1.50	+0.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	300	0.765	$229.50	$11.50	+5.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?	No	200	0.875	$175.00	$5.00	+2.9%
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	No	200	0.805	$161.01	$21.20	+15.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?	No	305	0.475	$144.88	$-6.62	-4.4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	300	0.360	$108.00	$9.60	+9.8%
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	No	133	0.720	$95.54	$31.22	+48.5%
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	No	130	0.615	$79.95	$33.15	+70.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	100	0.785	$78.50	$9.50	+13.8%
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	No	78	0.870	$67.66	$15.55	+29.9%
António Guterres out by December 31?	No	62	0.760	$47.50	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?	Yes	139	0.235	$32.57	$-4.85	-13.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	Yes	65	0.425	$27.65	$-15.94	-36.6%
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	33	0.630	$20.58	$3.85	+23.0%
Will Solana reach $90 in August?	No	17	0.880	$14.55	$6.12	+72.5%
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in August?	No	100	0.087	$8.75	$-4.55	-34.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?	No	60	0.135	$8.10	$-2.70	-25.0%
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?	No	12	0.620	$7.44	$1.44	+24.0%