PnL (30d)

−$1,710

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$193

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-5.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

55%

224W / 182L · 103 open

Win Return (30d)

55%

281W / 226L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

509

across 24 markets · ~21 per market

EV / position

−$106.89

avg win $71 · loss $498

Profit Factor

0.31

$780 won / $2,491 lost

Reward / Risk

0.14

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$140

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	55.3% 713W/576L	106	$146,972
🏛 Politics	70.5% 43W/18L	9	$13,570
🎬 Culture	40.0% 12W/18L	4	$1,086
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/22L	1	$698
💵 Economy	100.0% 2W/0L	1	$1,480

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	1,000	0.949	$948.50	$47.50	+5.3%
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	1,635	0.275	$449.70	$21.74	+5.1%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	1,212	0.045	$55.13	$-125.52	-69.5%