SomeBodyOnceToldMe
0x6e5f96b6b1cee2a349a34726dd653e0fb6029d60
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$28
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$14
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
73%
8W / 3L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
67%
8W / 4L
Trades (30d)
12
across 5 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$7.11
avg win $9 · loss $24
Profit Factor
0.40
$19 won / $47 lost
Reward / Risk
0.40
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $377 · all-time $263,216
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.870 |
$87.00 |
$1.00 |
+1.2% |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.855 |
$85.50 |
$1.50 |
+1.8% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15? |
No |
100 |
0.840 |
$84.00 |
$2.00 |
+2.4% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? |
No |
85 |
0.440 |
$37.29 |
$-12.71 |
-25.4% |
| Will Russia enter Matiasheve by August 31? |
No |
50 |
0.740 |
$37.00 |
$2.00 |
+5.7% |