| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
3,000 |
0.987 |
$2,959.49 |
$106.50 |
+3.7% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
4,709 |
0.225 |
$1,059.60 |
$159.80 |
+17.8% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
500 |
0.525 |
$262.50 |
$67.50 |
+34.6% |
| Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? |
Yes |
238 |
0.885 |
$210.22 |
$38.94 |
+22.7% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? |
Yes |
440 |
0.365 |
$160.76 |
$28.63 |
+21.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
141 |
0.445 |
$62.74 |
$-10.57 |
-14.4% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? |
Yes |
93 |
0.305 |
$28.46 |
$-9.80 |
-25.6% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026? |
Yes |
1,420 |
0.018 |
$24.86 |
$-260.15 |
-91.3% |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
Yes |
90 |
0.140 |
$12.60 |
$-28.80 |
-69.6% |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
Yes |
70 |
0.105 |
$7.35 |
$-12.25 |
-62.5% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.115 |
$5.75 |
$-11.55 |
-66.8% |
| Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? |
Yes |
135 |
0.011 |
$1.55 |
$-27.45 |
-94.6% |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
Yes |
127 |
0.005 |
$0.70 |
$-18.95 |
-96.4% |