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Trader

0x6dc1de9a25d85255b5647f6690babfdb347dd7ac
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$10
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$7
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+3.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
2W / 0L · 11 open
Win Return (30d)
62%
8W / 5L
Trades (30d)
13
across 4 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$9.60
avg win $10
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$44
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $673 · all-time $166,819

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 36.8% 7W/12L 20 $1,692
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $156
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $156
⚽ Sports 1 $130
🎬 Culture 1 $130

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

18 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1,000 0.209 $209.50 $-70.50 -25.2%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 200 0.865 $173.00 $-1.00 -0.6%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1,000 0.135 $134.50 $74.50 +124.2%
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes 1,000 0.125 $125.00 $25.00 +25.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 150 0.665 $99.75 $35.65 +55.6%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? Yes 100 0.895 $89.50 $36.50 +68.9%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 700 0.086 $60.48 $21.98 +57.1%
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No 50 0.968 $48.38 $8.17 +20.3%
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? Yes 60 0.555 $33.30 $-2.70 -7.5%
Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31? No 37 0.775 $28.68 $6.47 +29.2%
Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31? Yes 100 0.225 $22.50 $-19.00 -45.8%
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes 100 0.215 $21.50 $-8.50 -28.3%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? Yes 50 0.405 $20.25 $5.58 +38.1%
US congress stock trading ban before 2027? Yes 100 0.110 $11.00 $-9.00 -45.0%
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 1,000 0.005 $5.50 $-9.50 -63.3%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes 50 0.065 $3.25 $-8.75 -72.9%
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? Yes 100 0.026 $2.65 $-38.35 -93.5%
Will BP be acquired before 2027? Yes 1 0.030 $0.03 $-0.05 -61.9%