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Trader leaderboard/MEPP

MEPP

0x6d9fc316c3b8377060a44b852ba664adbfd59790
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$4,800
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$5,677
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+9.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
71%
10W / 4L · 100 open
Win Return (30d)
96%
110W / 4L
Trades (30d)
114
across 4 markets · ~28 per market
EV / position
+$2,399.83
avg win $5,190 · loss $390
Profit Factor
13.30
$5,190 won / $390 lost
Reward / Risk
13.30
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $506,570 · all-time $36,417,255

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 51.0% 366W/352L 90 $1,271,891
🏛 Politics 100.0% 7W/0L 15 $132,805
💵 Economy 100.0% 7W/0L 3 $12,148
🎬 Culture 1 $12,984
🔬 Science 1 $12,984

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

68 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Iran Nuke before 2027? No 85,345 0.949 $80,949.64 $10,474.81 +14.9%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 76,437 0.935 $71,469.00 $8,311.27 +13.2%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 27,273 0.925 $25,227.81 $1,372.83 +5.8%
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No 24,682 0.956 $23,595.62 $3,607.41 +18.0%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 24,700 0.795 $19,636.47 $5,668.59 +40.6%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 16,248 0.853 $13,851.25 $2,505.62 +22.1%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No 15,839 0.835 $13,225.49 $3,171.61 +31.5%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 13,812 0.945 $13,052.79 $1,860.11 +16.6%
Iran leadership change by December 31? No 14,848 0.855 $12,694.88 $2,446.86 +23.9%
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No 13,173 0.918 $12,093.17 $2,604.94 +27.5%
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No 11,250 0.923 $10,389.29 $1,239.71 +13.5%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No 10,649 0.905 $9,637.47 $1,607.20 +20.0%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 10,000 0.835 $8,350.00 $150.01 +1.8%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? Yes 10,177 0.785 $7,988.74 $2,510.41 +45.8%
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No 8,640 0.875 $7,560.24 $107.78 +1.4%
Iran leadership change by September 30? No 7,706 0.945 $7,281.80 $279.60 +4.0%
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No 8,397 0.860 $7,217.46 $411.88 +6.1%
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? No 6,851 0.968 $6,628.39 $256.91 +4.0%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No 6,873 0.945 $6,495.02 $1,527.57 +30.8%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No 6,400 0.935 $5,984.04 $1,965.19 +48.9%
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No 6,500 0.895 $5,817.50 $617.50 +11.9%
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No 6,083 0.935 $5,687.69 $416.61 +7.9%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 6,782 0.823 $5,578.52 $103.66 +1.9%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No 5,000 0.945 $4,725.00 $1,525.00 +47.7%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No 5,169 0.905 $4,677.74 $1,969.53 +72.7%