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Trader leaderboard/DoubleAgentKrasnov

DoubleAgentKrasnov

0x6d8c602a087dcd47938514fedbc684dec56cb79a
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$723
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$270
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+15.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
77%
34W / 10L · 66 open
Win Return (30d)
77%
85W / 25L
Trades (30d)
110
across 20 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$103.25
avg win $157 · loss $31
Profit Factor
12.84
$784 won / $61 lost
Reward / Risk
5.14
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $755 · all-time $51,273

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 68.4% 52W/24L 33 $9,230
🏛 Politics 100.0% 2W/0L 8 $1,673

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes 1,657 0.790 $1,309.03 $54.38 +4.3%
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? No 461 0.815 $375.37 $-7.19 -1.9%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes 400 0.930 $372.20 $16.20 +4.6%
Will Russia enter Borova by September 30? No 200 0.835 $167.08 $15.01 +9.9%
Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026? No 136 0.931 $126.92 $19.40 +18.0%
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31? Yes 130 0.675 $87.75 $15.25 +21.0%
Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? No 100 0.875 $87.50 $-0.50 -0.6%
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026? No 79 0.952 $75.62 $7.54 +11.1%
Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes 100 0.620 $62.00 $2.00 +3.3%
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? Yes 55 0.875 $48.27 $1.15 +2.4%
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026? No 50 0.875 $43.75 $3.75 +9.4%
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by September 30, 2026? No 45 0.880 $39.60 $4.50 +12.8%
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by December 31? Yes 34 0.750 $25.87 $4.14 +19.0%