Turtleiny
0x6d828157379b72256a23acde685f97a36dd07d33
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$53
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$12
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+5.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
1W / 0L · 11 open
Win Return (30d)
92%
11W / 1L
Trades (30d)
12
across 5 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$52.71
avg win $53
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,220 · all-time $1,052,257
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
418 |
0.585 |
$244.24 |
$44.24 |
+22.1% |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? |
Yes |
210 |
0.956 |
$200.63 |
$0.63 |
+0.3% |
| Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? |
Yes |
128 |
0.994 |
$127.35 |
$13.27 |
+11.6% |
| Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? |
No |
115 |
0.964 |
$110.81 |
$10.81 |
+10.8% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
363 |
0.085 |
$30.85 |
$-269.15 |
-89.7% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
128 |
0.205 |
$26.28 |
$-73.72 |
-73.7% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
300 |
0.065 |
$19.50 |
$-13.50 |
-40.9% |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? |
Yes |
42 |
0.440 |
$18.48 |
$7.33 |
+65.8% |
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.045 |
$9.00 |
$-120.99 |
-93.1% |