PnL (30d)

+$315

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$103

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+10.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

72%

42W / 16L · 25 open

Win Return (30d)

69%

57W / 26L

Trades (30d)

83

across 16 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$157.71

avg win $340 · loss $25

Profit Factor

13.77

$340 won / $25 lost

Reward / Risk

13.77

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	72.4% 42W/16L	16	$4,619
⚽ Sports	—	3	$40
🏛 Politics	—	1	$96

Open positions

20 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	12,479	0.865	$10,794.10	$445.95	+4.3%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	1,100	0.945	$1,039.51	$22.50	+2.2%
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	No	800	0.715	$572.00	$100.00	+21.2%
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	527	0.935	$493.04	$24.52	+5.2%
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	500	0.949	$474.50	$4.00	+0.9%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	2,800	0.146	$410.20	$258.41	+170.2%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	No	500	0.725	$362.49	$22.50	+6.6%
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	200	0.978	$195.50	$6.51	+3.4%
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?	No	195	0.915	$178.41	$7.29	+4.3%
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	4,500	0.033	$146.25	$-6.75	-4.4%
Lamar Jackson traded by next season?	No	125	0.979	$122.31	$27.31	+28.7%
Will the Dallas Mavericks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	300	0.325	$97.50	$-7.50	-7.1%
Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	121	0.775	$93.65	$1.81	+2.0%
Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	88	0.865	$76.05	$9.23	+13.8%
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	No	33	0.905	$30.17	$1.83	+6.5%
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Yes	241	0.120	$28.88	$-36.69	-56.0%
Will the Boston Celtics make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	24	0.835	$19.88	$1.07	+5.7%
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	25	0.565	$14.12	$0.12	+0.9%
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	17	0.285	$4.88	$-7.92	-61.9%
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	600	0.004	$2.10	$-8.70	-80.6%