PnL (30d)

−$555

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$11,281

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

46%

36W / 42L · 13,668 open

Win Return (30d)

86%

11,854W / 1,855L · 37 open

Trades (30d)

13,746

across 873 markets · ~16 per market

EV / position

−$69.40

avg win $86 · loss $121

Profit Factor

0.24

$171 won / $726 lost

Reward / Risk

0.71

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	46.2% 36W/42L	873	$1,011,673
🏛 Politics	100.0% 3W/0L	471	$267,597
🎬 Culture	—	2	$17
🤖 Tech	—	1	$51

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	7,032	0.905	$6,364.19	$841.98	+15.2%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?	No	4,047	0.960	$3,883.25	$76.96	+2.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-09 House seat?	Yes	3,661	0.935	$3,423.14	$27.75	+0.8%
Will the Republican Party win the OH-05 House seat?	Yes	3,190	0.935	$2,983.07	$35.36	+1.2%
Will the Republican Party win the VA-02 House seat?	No	2,998	0.845	$2,533.12	$102.98	+4.2%
Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat?	Yes	2,420	0.942	$2,278.67	$8.17	+0.4%
Will the Republican Party win the AL-05 House seat?	Yes	2,262	0.935	$2,114.77	$42.70	+2.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-06 House seat?	No	2,163	0.945	$2,043.87	$19.52	+1.0%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-21 House seat?	No	2,156	0.915	$1,972.83	$41.09	+2.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-28 House seat?	No	2,064	0.935	$1,929.94	$4.01	+0.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-03 House seat?	Yes	1,974	0.935	$1,845.34	$21.83	+1.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?	No	1,644	0.915	$1,503.93	$19.27	+1.3%
Will the Republican Party win the IL-08 House seat?	No	1,588	0.945	$1,500.38	$20.23	+1.4%
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-16 House seat?	Yes	1,404	0.955	$1,341.12	$19.40	+1.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-08 House seat?	Yes	1,377	0.964	$1,327.70	$34.47	+2.7%
Will the Republican Party win the UT-04 House seat?	Yes	1,385	0.935	$1,295.08	$22.52	+1.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat?	Yes	1,632	0.775	$1,264.41	$35.07	+2.9%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-28 House seat?	Yes	1,351	0.935	$1,262.82	$26.34	+2.1%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-48 House seat?	No	1,385	0.895	$1,239.59	$24.64	+2.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the MS-02 House seat?	Yes	1,292	0.915	$1,182.02	$22.87	+2.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?	Yes	1,256	0.941	$1,181.86	$11.16	+1.0%
Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	1,563	0.755	$1,179.81	$79.66	+7.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat?	Yes	1,249	0.942	$1,175.65	$10.92	+0.9%
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat?	Yes	1,275	0.915	$1,166.41	$22.74	+2.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-08 House seat?	Yes	1,213	0.935	$1,133.76	$11.25	+1.0%