PnL (30d)

+$104

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$61

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+22.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

38%

17W / 28L · 17 open

Win Return (30d)

32%

20W / 42L

Trades (30d)

62

across 21 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$6.93

avg win $50 · loss $9

Profit Factor

2.08

$200 won / $96 lost

Reward / Risk

5.71

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$13

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	37.8% 17W/28L	21	$649
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/1L	4	$242
₿ Crypto	12.5% 2W/14L	4	$58
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/1L	2	$12

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?	Yes	564	0.625	$352.33	$-81.18	-18.7%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	1,698	0.155	$263.18	$-74.94	-22.2%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	599	0.325	$194.84	$-26.51	-12.0%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	1,100	0.065	$71.50	$-128.50	-64.2%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	300	0.095	$28.50	$-7.50	-20.8%
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?	Yes	200	0.077	$15.50	$3.50	+29.2%
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	85	0.180	$15.36	$-11.24	-42.3%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?	Yes	300	0.013	$3.75	$-8.25	-68.8%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?	Yes	345	0.009	$2.93	$-3.42	-53.8%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?	Yes	610	0.004	$2.74	$-0.30	-10.0%
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026?	Yes	15	0.135	$2.08	$0.54	+35.0%