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Trader leaderboard/manbo3

manbo3

0x6d1f2982b71f92879a4747899d7de6227b53890d
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
80%
4W / 1L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
57%
4W / 3L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
8
across 5 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.04
avg win $0 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.88
$1 won / $1 lost
Reward / Risk
0.44
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,106 · all-time $102,949

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 90.1% 741W/81L 767 $20,611
⚽ Sports 100.0% 64W/0L 67 $2,235
💵 Economy 100.0% 4W/0L 5 $102
₿ Crypto 100.0% 3W/0L 3 $42
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $100

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

31 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August 2026? No 254 0.996 $252.93 $13.00 +5.4%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by August 31, 2026? No 96 0.980 $94.10 $3.84 +4.3%
Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in August? No 87 0.993 $86.23 $0.26 +0.3%
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? No 71 0.989 $69.90 $-0.11 -0.2%
Will Meituan be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? No 65 0.984 $64.40 $2.23 +3.6%
Will Meituan have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? No 62 1.000 $62.21 $1.21 +2.0%
Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in August? No 62 0.988 $61.31 $1.12 +1.9%
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $800B by August 31? No 52 0.989 $51.21 $1.51 +3.0%
Will Microsoft have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? No 50 1.000 $49.98 $0.97 +2.0%
Will Amazon have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? No 50 1.000 $49.98 $0.97 +2.0%
Will Microsoft be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? No 48 0.998 $48.22 $1.33 +2.8%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No 39 0.981 $37.80 $0.80 +2.2%
Will Chainlink reach $20 in August? No 42 0.875 $36.58 $-2.92 -7.4%
Will BNB reach $1,000 in August? No 36 0.995 $36.13 $0.53 +1.5%
Will Meituan be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? No 33 0.986 $32.87 $0.53 +1.6%
Will Microsoft be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? No 30 0.961 $28.36 $-0.28 -1.0%
Will Meituan be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? No 28 0.960 $27.01 $-0.30 -1.1%
Will Microsoft have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026? No 26 0.997 $25.93 $0.70 +2.8%
Will Amazon be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? No 27 0.916 $24.48 $-0.25 -1.0%
Will Microsoft be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? No 15 0.998 $15.41 $0.43 +2.9%
Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? No 25 0.595 $14.88 $-9.62 -39.3%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No 11 0.970 $10.39 $0.39 +3.9%
Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in August? No 10 0.974 $10.01 $0.01 +0.1%
Will Chainlink reach $18 in August? No 10 0.920 $9.39 $-0.61 -6.1%
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by August 31? No 11 0.835 $8.88 $-1.12 -11.2%