liamweber
0x6cfce245330b7935bb415bd32ebbf8ee3059a5c2
PnL (30d)
+$114
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$52
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
93%
366W / 29L · 69 open
Win Return (30d)
88%
406W / 56L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
464
across 42 markets · ~11 per market
EV / position
+$4.22
avg win $11 · loss $16
Profit Factor
2.04
$223 won / $109 lost
Reward / Risk
0.72
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$16
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,125 · all-time $2,267,860
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August? |
No |
3,000 |
0.998 |
$2,992.49 |
$13.50 |
+0.5% |
| Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? |
No |
1,000 |
0.990 |
$989.52 |
$-2.00 |
-0.2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.987 |
$986.50 |
$-0.50 |
-0.1% |
| Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? |
No |
65 |
0.985 |
$63.71 |
$0.81 |
+1.3% |
| Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? |
Yes |
60 |
0.205 |
$12.30 |
$2.70 |
+28.1% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
70 |
0.114 |
$7.95 |
$-19.32 |
-70.9% |
| NBA: Will Anthony Davis be traded by next season? |
Yes |
125 |
0.032 |
$4.00 |
$-12.50 |
-75.8% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
10 |
0.209 |
$2.09 |
$-0.41 |
-16.2% |
| Will Nico Schlotterbeck join Manchester City? |
Yes |
54 |
0.006 |
$0.32 |
$-9.64 |
-96.8% |