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0x6cf833cd47e3cc3c6a5dd993b8ec362ec09f042f
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$62
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
75%
18W / 6L
Trades (30d)
24
across 6 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $128,095

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 9 $163
🏛 Politics 1 $4
💵 Economy 1 $22

Open positions

39 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 3,832 0.445 $1,705.23 $43.42 +2.6%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 700 0.816 $570.85 $136.48 +31.4%
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes 2,022 0.235 $475.21 $-7.12 -1.5%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 380 0.865 $328.69 $34.10 +11.6%
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes 440 0.610 $268.40 $-72.60 -21.3%
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? Yes 385 0.680 $261.79 $5.80 +2.3%
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No 200 0.960 $191.90 $7.90 +4.3%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes 1,564 0.115 $179.87 $-14.32 -7.4%
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes 302 0.515 $155.73 $26.22 +20.2%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No 200 0.635 $126.99 $2.00 +1.6%
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? Yes 400 0.276 $110.20 $90.20 +451.0%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 700 0.143 $100.45 $35.70 +55.1%
US recession by end of 2026? Yes 1,170 0.080 $93.58 $-237.45 -71.7%
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes 205 0.450 $92.43 $20.50 +28.5%
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No 280 0.270 $75.60 $-17.80 -19.1%
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes 360 0.210 $75.60 $-33.80 -30.9%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 440 0.146 $64.46 $10.54 +19.6%
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes 80 0.655 $52.40 $3.20 +6.5%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes 100 0.485 $48.50 $6.70 +16.0%
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? No 50 0.680 $34.00 $-3.50 -9.3%
Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes 240 0.130 $31.20 $-4.20 -11.9%
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? Yes 100 0.310 $31.00 $3.00 +10.7%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 60 0.460 $27.57 $2.77 +11.2%
Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes 168 0.155 $25.98 $7.70 +42.1%
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes 200 0.095 $19.00 $-12.00 -38.7%