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Trader leaderboard/AlexLiu

AlexLiu

0x6cd517eaa88ba717fa3aa3d5047feb0ce387f2cf
PnL (30d)
−$552
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$6
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-23.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
35%
17W / 32L · 22 open
Win Return (30d)
31%
20W / 45L · 6 open
Trades (30d)
71
across 20 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$36.83
avg win $67 · loss $156
Profit Factor
0.49
$538 won / $1,091 lost
Reward / Risk
0.43
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $200 · all-time $1,549,414

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 34.7% 17W/32L 20 $11,757
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 2 $269
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 2 $269
₿ Crypto 1 $95
⚽ Sports 1 $67
🎬 Culture 1 $67

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 40,000 0.555 $22,200.00 $2,200.00 +11.0%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 40,000 0.445 $17,800.00 $-2,200.00 -11.0%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes 1,200 0.885 $1,062.00 $277.10 +35.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No 500 0.966 $483.00 $58.00 +13.6%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No 500 0.955 $477.50 $77.50 +19.4%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 200 0.984 $196.70 $2.70 +1.4%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 200 0.967 $193.40 $3.40 +1.8%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No 200 0.945 $189.00 $5.00 +2.7%
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No 100 0.979 $97.85 $2.85 +3.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? No 100 0.978 $97.80 $3.80 +4.0%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? No 100 0.973 $97.26 $1.75 +1.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? No 100 0.944 $94.34 $-0.45 -0.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No 100 0.915 $91.50 $28.63 +45.5%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No 100 0.670 $66.98 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No 15 0.935 $14.03 $2.77 +24.7%
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes 50 0.275 $13.75 $-2.75 -16.7%
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 750 0.004 $3.37 $0.37 +12.5%