PnL (30d)

−$584

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$358

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-15.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

92%

12W / 1L · 4 open

Win Return (30d)

76%

13W / 4L

Trades (30d)

17

across 8 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$116.90

avg win $57 · loss $811

Profit Factor

0.28

$226 won / $811 lost

Reward / Risk

0.07

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	92.3% 12W/1L	8	$5,095
💵 Economy	—	1	$1,560

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	2,749	0.625	$1,718.37	$-288.66	-14.4%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	1,200	0.625	$750.00	$-325.50	-30.3%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	500	0.885	$442.50	$52.50	+13.5%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	520	0.655	$340.60	$114.60	+50.7%
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?	No	300	0.987	$295.95	$40.95	+16.1%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	1,000	0.265	$265.00	$-305.00	-53.5%