PnL (30d)

−$4,776

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$34

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

52%

727W / 678L · 71 open

Win Return (30d)

49%

729W / 744L · 3 open

Trades (30d)

1,476

across 492 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$10.18

avg win $89 · loss $187

Profit Factor

0.85

$26,672 won / $31,448 lost

Reward / Risk

0.47

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2,247

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	51.7% 727W/678L	492	$206,889
₿ Crypto	79.3% 69W/18L	76	$38,324
⚽ Sports	—	11	$91
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/10L	7	$120
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/9L	5	$82
🎬 Culture	—	1	$4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

23 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be negative?	Yes	318	0.101	$31.96	$-10.27	-24.3%
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	278	0.046	$12.92	$-12.08	-48.3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	28	0.425	$11.81	$1.81	+18.1%
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-08-08?	Yes	21	0.440	$9.10	$-0.65	-6.6%
Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	39	0.180	$6.97	$-3.03	-30.3%
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	9	0.585	$5.52	$0.52	+10.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	385	0.013	$5.19	$0.19	+3.8%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds	St. Louis Cardinals	12	0.440	$5.12	$0.12	+2.3%
Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	No	6	0.845	$5.09	$0.09	+1.8%
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	6	0.792	$5.01	$0.01	+0.3%
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	17	0.275	$4.76	$-0.24	-4.8%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	28	0.165	$4.58	$-0.42	-8.3%
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?	Yes	12	0.385	$4.53	$-0.88	-16.2%
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?	Yes	15	0.305	$4.50	$-0.52	-10.3%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)	Chicago White Sox	6	0.660	$4.07	$-0.93	-18.6%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	460	0.009	$3.91	$-1.09	-21.7%
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Scotland vs United Arab Emirates	Scotland	7	0.500	$3.62	$-1.38	-27.5%
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-12?	Yes	7	0.480	$3.58	$-1.42	-28.4%
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	8	0.415	$3.18	$-1.82	-36.5%
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	Yes	36	0.080	$2.86	$-0.71	-19.9%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?	Yes	5	0.481	$2.62	$-2.38	-47.7%
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?	Yes	76	0.026	$1.97	$-3.03	-60.6%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	42	0.045	$1.87	$-3.12	-62.5%