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Trader leaderboard/ma99

ma99

0x6c3789734ebd5c9494932e4936b7cc20cfdcd40f
Scoped to Science — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$29
Science · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+25.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
82%
47W / 10L · 38 open
Win Return (30d)
55%
52W / 43L
Trades (30d)
95
across 17 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$2.85
avg win $5 · loss $0
Profit Factor
15.67
$30 won / $2 lost
Reward / Risk
10.44
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $529 · all-time $5,239,923

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 48.2% 455W/489L 530 $3,832
💵 Economy 80.0% 12W/3L 28 $114
🏛 Politics 75.0% 12W/4L 28 $65
🤖 Tech 100.0% 19W/0L 14 $60
₿ Crypto 8 $44
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/3L 4 $17
🔬 Science 1 $8

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22? Yes 100 0.408 $40.79 $38.79 +1939.5%
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? Yes 100 0.255 $25.50 $23.40 +1114.3%
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 67 0.323 $21.68 $20.34 +1512.5%
Will an independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes 100 0.183 $18.30 $9.70 +112.8%
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes 100 0.150 $15.00 $7.00 +87.5%
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes 110 0.102 $11.20 $8.63 +336.0%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No 100 0.110 $11.00 $7.00 +175.0%
USD1 depeg by December 31? Yes 100 0.110 $11.00 $7.00 +175.0%
NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes 142 0.070 $9.92 $-1.42 -12.5%
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by at least 4.0% in 2026? Yes 100 0.094 $9.40 $9.20 +4600.0%
Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes 100 0.092 $9.25 $8.75 +1750.0%
Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31? Yes 100 0.090 $9.05 $6.05 +201.7%
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? Yes 100 0.084 $8.40 $0.40 +5.0%
Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch? Yes 100 0.082 $8.20 $8.00 +3999.9%
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? Yes 100 0.082 $8.15 $3.55 +77.2%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%? Yes 100 0.079 $7.89 $4.80 +154.8%
Will the Republican Party win the SD-AL House seat? No 100 0.075 $7.50 $-0.50 -6.2%
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes 153 0.049 $7.50 $1.22 +19.5%
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes 65 0.115 $7.50 $2.28 +43.7%
Will Mark Zuckerberg be 3rd richest person on December 31? Yes 41 0.183 $7.44 $7.36 +9049.9%
Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes 100 0.071 $7.14 $4.04 +130.3%
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes 154 0.046 $7.11 $1.78 +33.5%
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes 58 0.120 $6.96 $5.80 +500.0%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes 55 0.122 $6.77 $3.45 +104.2%
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Yes 100 0.068 $6.75 $6.45 +2150.0%