BlackSheepWall
0x6c1cda5055bd5e6d6268eef3b223e86f57da5650
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$58
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-6.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
89%
85W / 11L
Win Return (30d)
89%
85W / 11L
Trades (30d)
96
across 96 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$0.60
avg win $1 · loss $10
Profit Factor
0.48
$52 won / $110 lost
Reward / Risk
0.06
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $159,803
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? |
No |
11 |
0.986 |
$10.40 |
$0.40 |
+4.0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
10 |
0.982 |
$10.22 |
$0.22 |
+2.2% |
| Will Rebekah LaVann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma? |
No |
10 |
0.985 |
$10.02 |
$0.02 |
+0.2% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? |
No |
11 |
0.941 |
$9.88 |
$-0.12 |
-1.2% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? |
No |
10 |
0.956 |
$9.76 |
$-0.24 |
-2.4% |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? |
No |
6 |
0.945 |
$5.63 |
$0.63 |
+12.6% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? |
No |
5 |
0.955 |
$4.77 |
$-0.03 |
-0.6% |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 |
No |
1 |
0.865 |
$0.95 |
$-0.05 |
-4.9% |
| Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? |
No |
12 |
0.038 |
$0.47 |
$-9.53 |
-95.3% |