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Trader

0x6c056c53917985d73527efca9cef85158297c270
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$21
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-14.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
35%
7W / 13L · 8 open
Win Return (30d)
39%
11W / 17L
Trades (30d)
28
across 13 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$3.04
avg win $4 · loss $6
Profit Factor
0.27
$8 won / $29 lost
Reward / Risk
0.68
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $365 · all-time $18,131

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 41.8% 33W/46L 49 $951
💵 Economy 4 $45
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/2L 3 $53
🤖 Tech 2 $19

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

16 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No 35 0.905 $31.94 $-0.18 -0.5%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? No 29 0.940 $27.49 $4.12 +17.6%
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 27 0.635 $17.30 $-0.41 -2.3%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 16 1.000 $16.35 $2.12 +14.9%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 45 0.353 $15.82 $-0.02 -0.1%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 15 1.000 $15.36 $0.91 +6.3%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 15 0.935 $13.83 $0.96 +7.5%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? No 12 0.895 $11.01 $1.29 +13.3%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 12 0.845 $9.79 $-0.51 -5.0%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? No 4 0.963 $4.27 $0.63 +17.4%
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? Yes 8 0.440 $3.31 $0.35 +11.9%
Databricks IPO before 2027? No 2 0.920 $2.03 $0.50 +32.4%
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No 2 0.700 $1.69 $-0.15 -7.9%
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No 2 0.904 $1.56 $0.59 +60.9%
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? No 2 0.805 $1.32 $0.30 +28.9%
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? Yes 5 0.235 $1.17 $-2.62 -69.1%