PnL (30d)

+$81

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

25%

215W / 638L · 79 open

Win Return (30d)

26%

238W / 694L

Trades (30d)

932

across 113 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

+$0.81

avg win $53 · loss $15

Profit Factor

1.07

$1,225 won / $1,145 lost

Reward / Risk

3.58

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$272

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	35.5% 837W/1,524L	264	$15,637
🏛 Politics	25.3% 84W/248L	41	$4,323
🎬 Culture	25.3% 84W/248L	41	$4,323

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

20 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	250	0.032	$7.88	$-14.62	-65.0%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	906	0.007	$6.79	$-1.10	-13.9%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	200	0.025	$4.90	$1.90	+63.3%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	8,292	0.001	$4.15	$-4.89	-54.1%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,392	0.003	$3.48	$-1.32	-27.5%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	6,869	0.001	$3.43	$-7.56	-68.8%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	82	0.026	$2.18	$-0.04	-1.9%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,294	0.002	$1.94	$-34.36	-94.7%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	3,158	0.001	$1.58	$-4.74	-75.0%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	490	0.003	$1.23	$-7.99	-86.7%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	816	0.002	$1.22	$-4.51	-78.7%
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	2,052	0.001	$1.03	$-4.76	-82.3%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	2,000	0.001	$1.00	$-8.72	-89.7%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	250	0.003	$0.62	$-0.38	-37.5%
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	1,053	0.001	$0.53	$-1.58	-75.0%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	900	0.001	$0.45	$-2.25	-83.3%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	857	0.001	$0.43	$-10.72	-96.2%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	316	0.001	$0.16	$-2.69	-94.5%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	316	0.001	$0.16	$-1.93	-92.4%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	315	0.001	$0.16	$-5.67	-97.3%