PnL (30d)

−$31

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$23

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-14.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

38%

3W / 5L · 17 open

Win Return (30d)

52%

13W / 12L

Trades (30d)

25

across 5 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$15.39

avg win $9 · loss $40

Profit Factor

0.23

$9 won / $40 lost

Reward / Risk

0.23

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$40

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	62.5% 15W/9L	19	$1,501
🏛 Politics	37.5% 3W/5L	4	$326
🎬 Culture	37.5% 3W/5L	2	$93

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	Yes	587	0.095	$55.79	$-10.32	-15.6%
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?	Yes	140	0.320	$44.80	$2.80	+6.7%
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	134	0.265	$35.54	$-10.40	-22.6%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	100	0.215	$21.50	$-26.50	-55.2%
Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?	Yes	200	0.105	$21.00	$-69.00	-76.7%