| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? |
No |
6,500 |
0.981 |
$6,373.25 |
$100.75 |
+1.6% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
2,500 |
0.973 |
$2,432.50 |
$132.50 |
+5.8% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.880 |
$1,320.00 |
$-40.45 |
-3.0% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
500 |
0.984 |
$492.00 |
$8.00 |
+1.7% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
500 |
0.955 |
$477.50 |
$32.50 |
+7.3% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.948 |
$473.75 |
$23.75 |
+5.3% |
| Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? |
Yes |
400 |
0.993 |
$397.00 |
$6.53 |
+1.7% |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? |
No |
400 |
0.860 |
$344.00 |
$40.00 |
+13.2% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
200 |
1.000 |
$199.90 |
$44.82 |
+28.9% |
| Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? |
No |
147 |
0.998 |
$147.15 |
$10.03 |
+7.3% |
| Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
No |
150 |
0.740 |
$111.00 |
$-25.25 |
-18.5% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? |
No |
108 |
0.995 |
$107.41 |
$6.97 |
+6.9% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
100 |
0.895 |
$89.50 |
$8.50 |
+10.5% |