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Trader

0x6b604862b9758e194f7f6fa77764c77f7d5e4007
PnL (30d)
−$20
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-19.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
47%
7W / 8L · 16 open
Win Return (30d)
45%
14W / 17L
Trades (30d)
31
across 29 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$1.43
avg win $2 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.31
$9 won / $29 lost
Reward / Risk
0.42
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $484,332

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 46.7% 7W/8L 29 $106
🏛 Politics 4 $14

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? Yes 31 0.450 $14.10 $-0.00 -0.0%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 11 0.845 $9.49 $1.49 +18.7%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 14 0.655 $9.24 $1.24 +15.5%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 9 0.987 $8.60 $0.60 +7.4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No 11 0.640 $7.31 $3.31 +82.9%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 12 0.615 $7.22 $-0.79 -9.8%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 22 0.278 $6.14 $2.14 +53.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No 8 0.755 $6.04 $2.04 +51.0%
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? Yes 6 0.966 $5.68 $1.68 +42.1%
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes 6 0.855 $5.20 $1.00 +23.8%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No 5 0.942 $5.12 $0.12 +2.4%
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? Yes 5 0.980 $4.96 $0.96 +24.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No 11 0.455 $4.87 $1.87 +62.5%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 9 0.510 $4.84 $-0.16 -3.1%
Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 5 0.983 $4.79 $0.79 +19.8%
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No 5 0.895 $4.71 $1.71 +57.0%
Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2027? No 5 0.962 $4.42 $0.42 +10.6%
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? No 5 0.930 $4.41 $0.41 +10.2%
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No 5 0.974 $4.40 $0.40 +10.1%
Trump out as President before 2027? No 5 0.935 $4.40 $0.40 +10.0%
Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2027? No 4 0.987 $4.39 $0.39 +9.7%
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No 4 0.977 $4.35 $0.34 +8.6%
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes 5 0.845 $4.33 $0.33 +8.3%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? No 5 0.930 $4.33 $0.33 +8.1%
Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton? Yes 4 0.991 $4.31 $0.31 +7.7%