6161friends
0x6b3ea46c29e41ba749531bc7ae2d44cc2a8b12a6
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$6
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$16
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 2L · 6 open
Win Return (30d)
12%
1W / 7L
Trades (30d)
8
across 4 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$5.53
· loss $6
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $6 lost
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $1,315,368
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
3,367 |
0.991 |
$3,335.42 |
$50.90 |
+1.5% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? |
No |
2,751 |
0.968 |
$2,661.19 |
$64.64 |
+2.5% |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,413 |
0.954 |
$2,300.43 |
$148.08 |
+6.9% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? |
No |
1,538 |
0.885 |
$1,360.96 |
$-47.68 |
-3.4% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? |
No |
998 |
0.942 |
$939.66 |
$6.15 |
+0.7% |