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Trader leaderboard/rocky42007

rocky42007

0x6b17d237e6b7f74ce8171d6dc68e07bc21c803b2
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$703
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+25.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
47%
306W / 351L
Win Return (30d)
47%
306W / 351L
Trades (30d)
657
across 58 markets · ~11 per market
EV / position
+$12.13
avg win $58 · loss $18
Profit Factor
2.10
$1,343 won / $640 lost
Reward / Risk
3.19
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$107
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $18,956 · all-time $9,599,098

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 48.0% 4,364W/4,732L 607 $225,932
🌤 Weather 56.5% 152W/117L 27 $1,836
⚽ Sports 50.6% 43W/42L 23 $1,620
🏛 Politics 14.9% 11W/63L 15 $4,044
🎬 Culture 76.9% 10W/3L 6 $294

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

102 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 884 0.983 $868.57 $692.55 +393.5%
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? No 351 0.895 $314.24 $35.13 +12.6%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No 580 0.455 $263.98 $-21.91 -7.7%
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? No 300 0.875 $262.81 $13.52 +5.4%
Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by October 31? No 408 0.590 $240.43 $24.56 +11.4%
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? Yes 270 0.760 $205.16 $1.02 +0.5%
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes 300 0.655 $196.50 $10.50 +5.6%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No 1,199 0.155 $185.89 $-103.34 -35.7%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 5? Yes 205 0.705 $144.53 $-1.02 -0.7%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 6? No 151 0.945 $142.69 $0.75 +0.5%
Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by December 31? No 223 0.530 $118.40 $40.21 +51.4%
Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? Yes 300 0.320 $96.00 $-30.00 -23.8%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 5? No 107 0.855 $91.76 $-1.61 -1.7%
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee? No 152 0.600 $91.27 $27.99 +44.2%
Will Jorge Martinez be the Republican nominee for FL-09? No 89 0.999 $88.66 $14.26 +19.2%
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes 300 0.295 $88.50 $-4.50 -4.8%
Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee? No 185 0.435 $80.51 $-14.94 -15.7%
Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes 300 0.265 $79.50 $4.50 +6.0%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No 87 0.872 $75.81 $-1.06 -1.4%
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? No 140 0.500 $69.75 $-4.86 -6.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-03 House seat? No 559 0.115 $64.28 $-3.85 -5.7%
Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by October 31? Yes 156 0.410 $64.00 $-31.22 -32.8%
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes 225 0.285 $63.97 $-12.33 -16.2%
Will Dan Green be the Republican nominee for FL-09? No 77 0.835 $63.96 $1.15 +1.8%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? No 436 0.135 $58.88 $-19.51 -24.9%