PnL (30d)

−$89

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$5

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-56.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 12L · 147 open

Win Return (30d)

0%

0W / 159L

Trades (30d)

159

across 3 markets · ~53 per market

EV / position

−$44.37

· loss $44

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $89 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

−$20

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	78.1% 310W/87L	58	$19,728
🏛 Politics	28.6% 14W/35L	11	$4,547
🎬 Culture	76.9% 10W/3L	4	$1,829
💵 Economy	44.4% 4W/5L	2	$138
🌤 Weather	—	1	$20
🔬 Science	—	1	$20

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

19 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	796	0.250	$198.88	$-15.91	-7.4%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	229	0.680	$155.96	$14.28	+10.1%
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	88	0.966	$85.15	$0.53	+0.6%
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	98	0.716	$69.81	$-14.35	-17.0%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	102	0.603	$61.65	$-21.98	-26.3%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	642	0.095	$61.01	$-99.53	-62.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	577	0.070	$40.42	$-57.74	-58.8%
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	140	0.255	$35.64	$-15.89	-30.8%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	7,633	0.004	$30.53	$-37.29	-55.0%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	Yes	102	0.210	$21.34	$-21.34	-50.0%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	74	0.265	$19.50	$-30.54	-61.0%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	263	0.055	$14.46	$-35.50	-71.1%
Will Todd Blanche be the next Attorney General?	Yes	9	0.956	$8.14	$0.73	+9.8%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	62	0.130	$8.12	$-4.38	-35.0%
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	5	0.805	$3.66	$2.11	+136.8%
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	Yes	77	0.029	$2.27	$-4.66	-67.2%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	180	0.005	$0.90	$-17.84	-95.2%
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	2	0.210	$0.42	$-0.56	-57.2%
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Yes	2	0.085	$0.19	$-0.17	-46.9%