| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
3,834 |
0.949 |
$3,638.39 |
$341.22 |
+10.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
5,404 |
0.305 |
$1,648.22 |
$426.45 |
+34.9% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
Yes |
6,422 |
0.145 |
$931.19 |
$-511.15 |
-35.4% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
Yes |
11,717 |
0.070 |
$820.18 |
$-1,091.58 |
-57.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
3,643 |
0.165 |
$601.04 |
$-288.62 |
-32.4% |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31? |
Yes |
4,384 |
0.105 |
$460.30 |
$-153.43 |
-25.0% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
Yes |
4,113 |
0.055 |
$226.19 |
$-331.62 |
-59.5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
3,333 |
0.065 |
$216.65 |
$-83.32 |
-27.8% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
Yes |
13,286 |
0.015 |
$192.65 |
$-245.80 |
-56.1% |
| Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election? |
No |
457 |
0.335 |
$152.98 |
$46.95 |
+44.3% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? |
Yes |
1,519 |
0.090 |
$136.67 |
$-425.05 |
-75.7% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
Yes |
995 |
0.110 |
$109.42 |
$-169.10 |
-60.7% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
594 |
0.101 |
$59.75 |
$-16.42 |
-21.6% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
Yes |
395 |
0.110 |
$43.41 |
$-106.55 |
-71.1% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
1,442 |
0.013 |
$18.03 |
$-208.21 |
-92.0% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
5 |
0.705 |
$3.52 |
$0.38 |
+11.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
No |
5,353 |
0.001 |
$2.68 |
$-964.75 |
-99.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
No |
1,000 |
0.002 |
$1.50 |
$-298.50 |
-99.5% |