PnL (30d)

+$25

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$222

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

98%

64W / 1L · 16 open

Win Return (30d)

79%

64W / 17L

Trades (30d)

81

across 4 markets · ~20 per market

EV / position

+$12.68

avg win $95 · loss $70

Profit Factor

1.36

$95 won / $70 lost

Reward / Risk

1.36

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	45.7% 1,118W/1,329L	92	$342,879
⚽ Sports	97.6% 80W/2L	19	$15,120
₿ Crypto	100.0% 20W/0L	2	$2,777
💵 Economy	100.0% 20W/0L	2	$2,777
🏛 Politics	—	2	$1,653
🤖 Tech	—	1	$854

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

30 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	1,315	0.460	$604.29	$-56.32	-8.5%
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	41,415	0.013	$517.69	$-36.36	-6.6%
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	8,313	0.045	$374.10	$41.57	+12.5%
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	7,583	0.032	$238.85	$-70.63	-22.8%
Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	61,753	0.004	$216.14	$13.65	+6.7%
Will AC Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	1,681	0.125	$210.06	$8.40	+4.2%
Will Dinamo Zagreb qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	300	0.635	$190.51	$-94.50	-33.2%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	1,794	0.095	$169.51	$29.60	+21.2%
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	22,406	0.003	$56.01	$8.22	+17.2%
Will Roma win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	10,056	0.005	$55.31	$-24.19	-30.4%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	5,000	0.011	$52.50	$-7.50	-12.5%
Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	7,599	0.003	$22.80	$-7.05	-23.6%
Will Real Sociedad win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	15,117	0.002	$22.68	$-7.56	-25.0%
Will England win the UEFA EURO 2028?	Yes	137	0.155	$21.23	$0.68	+3.3%
Will RB Leipzig win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	1,833	0.007	$13.75	$-0.56	-3.9%
Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	8,532	0.002	$12.80	$-12.80	-50.0%
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	5,000	0.003	$12.50	$-2.50	-16.7%
Will Betis win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	2,298	0.004	$8.04	$3.45	+75.0%
Will Portugal win the UEFA EURO 2028?	Yes	82	0.095	$7.79	$0.41	+5.6%
Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	631	0.011	$7.25	$0.32	+4.5%
Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	Yes	409	0.013	$5.32	$0.00	+0.0%
Will RB Leipzig be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?	Yes	161	0.033	$5.24	$1.21	+30.0%
Will Lille win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	Yes	97	0.032	$3.07	$1.80	+142.3%
Will Real Betis win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	500	0.004	$2.25	$0.25	+12.5%
Will Netherlands win the UEFA EURO 2028?	Yes	38	0.055	$2.09	$0.19	+10.0%