TylerTurden
0x69ea0d77ef34f1acb03aaed901df7620fc4215cd
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$623
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$506
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
22%
4W / 14L · 29 open
Win Return (30d)
64%
30W / 17L
Trades (30d)
47
across 8 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
−$207.73
avg win $17 · loss $656
Profit Factor
0.05
$33 won / $656 lost
Reward / Risk
0.03
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $21,618 · all-time $6,069,343
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
30,259 |
0.981 |
$29,669.29 |
$592.24 |
+2.0% |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
3,577 |
0.979 |
$3,499.97 |
$7.23 |
+0.2% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? |
No |
3,307 |
0.963 |
$3,182.99 |
$21.96 |
+0.7% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? |
No |
2,369 |
0.905 |
$2,143.95 |
$35.53 |
+1.7% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
1,369 |
0.979 |
$1,340.25 |
$-8.21 |
-0.6% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
No |
1,257 |
0.835 |
$1,049.60 |
$118.47 |
+12.7% |
| Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in August 2026? |
No |
615 |
0.964 |
$592.96 |
$-10.08 |
-1.7% |
| Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August 2026? |
No |
585 |
0.894 |
$523.28 |
$-25.51 |
-4.6% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August 2026? |
No |
469 |
0.996 |
$467.12 |
$5.16 |
+1.1% |