PnL (30d)

−$836

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$122

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-6.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

31%

16W / 36L · 60 open

Win Return (30d)

34%

38W / 74L

Trades (30d)

112

across 30 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$52.25

avg win $23 · loss $97

Profit Factor

0.14

$138 won / $974 lost

Reward / Risk

0.24

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$230

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	30.8% 16W/36L	30	$26,248
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/3L	8	$16,579
🎬 Culture	—	3	$169

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	5,250	0.605	$3,176.15	$-393.31	-11.0%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	5,419	0.485	$2,628.19	$64.30	+2.5%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	2,307	0.675	$1,557.42	$-12.58	-0.8%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	690	0.445	$307.05	$-3.45	-1.1%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1,676	0.088	$148.36	$-8.64	-5.5%
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	17,420	0.005	$87.10	$-14.41	-14.2%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	400	0.075	$30.00	$-2.00	-6.2%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	500	0.022	$11.00	$1.00	+10.0%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	17	0.146	$2.42	$0.42	+21.1%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	7	0.143	$0.98	$-0.02	-1.7%