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Trader leaderboard/0x6992D56559Dd30b5B5D0F5cA3D5427F9e94e6c1d-1760272837095

0x6992D56559Dd30b5B5D0F5cA3D5427F9e94e6c1d-1760272837095

0x6992d56559dd30b5b5d0f5ca3d5427f9e94e6c1d
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$2,329
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$161
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+19.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
69%
138W / 62L · 220 open
Win Return (30d)
78%
324W / 93L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
420
across 31 markets · ~14 per market
EV / position
+$332.67
avg win $566 · loss $251
Profit Factor
5.64
$2,830 won / $502 lost
Reward / Risk
2.26
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$59
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $102,823 · all-time $6,139,085

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 63.9% 433W/245L 116 $69,450
🏛 Politics 90.0% 27W/3L 13 $6,903
₿ Crypto 100.0% 1W/0L 7 $3,101
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 7 $3,101

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

49 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes 21,000 0.065 $1,365.00 $-292.99 -17.7%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 7,734 0.155 $1,198.83 $158.99 +15.3%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No 6,821 0.147 $1,006.15 $-258.22 -20.4%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 5,700 0.165 $940.50 $-581.49 -38.2%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? Yes 7,474 0.105 $784.79 $-669.85 -46.0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? Yes 4,900 0.095 $465.50 $-163.50 -26.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes 5,600 0.070 $392.00 $-195.99 -33.3%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes 6,399 0.055 $351.92 $-31.99 -8.3%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? Yes 4,950 0.065 $321.73 $-198.69 -38.2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? Yes 10,690 0.029 $304.68 $-644.83 -67.9%
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes 2,212 0.125 $276.47 $37.20 +15.5%
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? Yes 1,200 0.225 $270.00 $-20.00 -6.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? Yes 1,600 0.125 $200.00 $-356.00 -64.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? Yes 2,500 0.075 $187.50 $-222.49 -54.3%
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? Yes 1,328 0.135 $179.34 $33.21 +22.7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? Yes 3,573 0.044 $159.00 $-326.94 -67.3%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 13, 2026? Yes 1,000 0.135 $135.00 $-15.00 -10.0%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 28, 2026? Yes 1,100 0.115 $126.50 $-27.50 -17.9%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026? Yes 1,000 0.085 $85.00 $-65.00 -43.3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? Yes 5,479 0.015 $82.18 $-170.52 -67.5%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 21, 2026? Yes 800 0.095 $76.00 $-44.00 -36.7%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 10, 2026? Yes 480 0.150 $71.98 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 9, 2026? Yes 800 0.080 $64.00 $-56.00 -46.7%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 7, 2026? Yes 415 0.130 $53.98 $-0.37 -0.7%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 24, 2026? Yes 300 0.155 $46.50 $-7.50 -13.9%