PnL (30d)

+$351

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$213

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

44%

478W / 617L · 6 open

Win Return (30d)

44%

483W / 617L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

1,101

across 84 markets · ~13 per market

EV / position

+$4.28

avg win $180 · loss $397

Profit Factor

1.04

$10,269 won / $9,918 lost

Reward / Risk

0.45

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,238

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	55.8% 1,743W/1,379L	367	$562,739
🎬 Culture	38.9% 165W/259L	35	$57,099
🏛 Politics	38.0% 157W/256L	28	$56,085
🌤 Weather	100.0% 15W/0L	11	$3,146
🤖 Tech	72.7% 8W/3L	7	$1,014

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	1,623	0.973	$1,578.06	$261.26	+19.8%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	1,623	0.028	$44.63	$-80.21	-64.2%