winelavkakz
0x6959d607aeac901f421b5001bc0028798e825575
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$39
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$156
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
2W / 0L · 14 open
Win Return (30d)
100%
16W / 0L
Trades (30d)
16
across 4 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$39.00
avg win $39
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$3
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,570 · all-time $191,306
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
80.0%
4W/1L
|
11 |
$8,780 |
|
🏛 Politics
|
0.0%
0W/1L
|
4 |
$3,012 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? |
No |
2,000 |
0.964 |
$1,927.99 |
$168.07 |
+9.5% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,000 |
0.925 |
$1,850.00 |
$79.96 |
+4.5% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.996 |
$996.00 |
$86.00 |
+9.5% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
1,000 |
0.978 |
$977.49 |
$35.50 |
+3.8% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? |
No |
437 |
0.989 |
$431.63 |
$25.54 |
+6.3% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.177 |
$88.75 |
$-345.37 |
-79.6% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.885 |
$88.50 |
$4.32 |
+5.1% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
150 |
0.095 |
$14.25 |
$-27.75 |
-66.1% |