| Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.967 |
$966.98 |
$-1.58 |
-0.2% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? |
Yes |
1,718 |
0.295 |
$506.82 |
$39.52 |
+8.5% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.117 |
$116.50 |
$-64.50 |
-35.6% |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? |
Yes |
750 |
0.145 |
$108.75 |
$41.25 |
+61.1% |
| Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.105 |
$105.00 |
$15.00 |
+16.7% |
| Blue tsunami in 2026? |
No |
156 |
0.595 |
$92.81 |
$5.46 |
+6.2% |
| Will Detroit Lions win the 2026 NFC North? |
Yes |
200 |
0.355 |
$71.00 |
$11.00 |
+18.3% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
156 |
0.455 |
$70.98 |
$2.34 |
+3.4% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
300 |
0.225 |
$67.50 |
$-1.50 |
-2.2% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
202 |
0.274 |
$55.42 |
$-3.33 |
-5.7% |
| Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East? |
Yes |
100 |
0.550 |
$55.00 |
$2.00 |
+3.8% |
| Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2026 NFC West? |
Yes |
200 |
0.215 |
$43.00 |
$-5.00 |
-10.4% |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.043 |
$42.50 |
$0.50 |
+1.2% |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? |
Yes |
111 |
0.380 |
$42.07 |
$8.86 |
+26.7% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.041 |
$40.50 |
$8.50 |
+26.6% |
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.004 |
$35.00 |
$-25.47 |
-42.1% |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? |
Yes |
750 |
0.043 |
$31.88 |
$10.88 |
+51.8% |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? |
Yes |
750 |
0.029 |
$22.12 |
$1.87 |
+9.3% |
| Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 24, 2026? |
Yes |
58 |
0.350 |
$20.36 |
$8.76 |
+75.6% |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
2,500 |
0.007 |
$18.75 |
$1.25 |
+7.1% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
31 |
0.376 |
$11.60 |
$0.33 |
+3.0% |
| Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship? |
Yes |
115 |
0.100 |
$11.49 |
$2.45 |
+27.2% |
| Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? |
Yes |
232 |
0.035 |
$8.11 |
$0.27 |
+3.5% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
25 |
0.148 |
$3.75 |
$-0.38 |
-9.1% |
| Will New York Giants win the 2026 NFC East? |
Yes |
7 |
0.130 |
$0.96 |
$0.07 |
+8.3% |