| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
250,000 |
0.723 |
$180,625.00 |
$55,625.00 |
+44.5% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
250,000 |
0.278 |
$69,375.00 |
$-55,625.00 |
-44.5% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
55,000 |
0.963 |
$52,937.50 |
$7,837.55 |
+17.4% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
294,448 |
0.052 |
$15,458.51 |
$4,055.14 |
+35.6% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
7,621 |
0.855 |
$6,515.95 |
$1,250.29 |
+23.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.625 |
$6,250.00 |
$350.00 |
+5.9% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
4,407 |
0.835 |
$3,680.21 |
$1,708.97 |
+86.7% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
27,022 |
0.117 |
$3,148.06 |
$-1,005.14 |
-24.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
20,000 |
0.155 |
$3,100.04 |
$-1,617.80 |
-34.3% |
| Will Nico Schlotterbeck join Manchester City? |
No |
3,055 |
0.994 |
$3,036.93 |
$1,317.01 |
+76.6% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
114,713 |
0.025 |
$2,913.72 |
$544.77 |
+23.0% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? |
No |
3,957 |
0.735 |
$2,908.08 |
$1,673.58 |
+135.6% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
20,000 |
0.143 |
$2,870.00 |
$1,251.82 |
+77.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
9,153 |
0.305 |
$2,791.58 |
$298.95 |
+12.0% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
3,727 |
0.715 |
$2,664.82 |
$941.26 |
+54.6% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
2,799 |
0.940 |
$2,629.59 |
$2,483.53 |
+1700.3% |
| Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027? |
No |
2,325 |
0.988 |
$2,295.86 |
$146.55 |
+6.8% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
150,000 |
0.015 |
$2,174.99 |
$195.15 |
+9.9% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
13,901 |
0.146 |
$2,036.54 |
$1,167.71 |
+134.4% |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? |
No |
1,963 |
0.953 |
$1,870.51 |
$77.08 |
+4.3% |
| Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027? |
No |
1,881 |
0.983 |
$1,847.85 |
$66.86 |
+3.8% |
| Will Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2027? |
No |
1,775 |
0.991 |
$1,759.38 |
$122.84 |
+7.5% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
4,485 |
0.375 |
$1,681.85 |
$-426.07 |
-20.2% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
5,603 |
0.298 |
$1,672.50 |
$1,168.23 |
+231.7% |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2027? |
No |
1,675 |
0.997 |
$1,669.18 |
$133.47 |
+8.7% |