0x686880EEA810Fa9141Be46A1aCec9Eee41755198-1770878625325
0x686880eea810fa9141be46a1acec9eee41755198
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$1,321
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+13.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
38%
763W / 1,238L · 5 open
Win Return (30d)
38%
763W / 1,238L · 5 open
Trades (30d)
2,006
across 213 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
+$6.26
avg win $39 · loss $20
Profit Factor
1.57
$3,632 won / $2,311 lost
Reward / Risk
1.99
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$103
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $40,241 · all-time $2,579,540
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin make landfall at Category 4 strength or higher? |
Yes |
50 |
0.011 |
$0.55 |
$-4.95 |
-90.0% |
| Will JDG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? |
Yes |
60 |
0.007 |
$0.42 |
$-0.18 |
-30.0% |