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Trader leaderboard/hetacz

hetacz

0x6864204009ba1e137989983eafee8644cb3f294b
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$4,844
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$93
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
79%
3,510W / 915L · 525 open
Win Return (30d)
76%
3,760W / 1,189L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
4,950
across 172 markets · ~29 per market
EV / position
−$39.07
avg win $77 · loss $456
Profit Factor
0.61
$7,471 won / $12,315 lost
Reward / Risk
0.17
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4,926
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $144,773 · all-time $20,332,506

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 78.1% 8,117W/2,274L 334 $255,298
🏛 Politics 66.3% 789W/401L 91 $46,011
🎬 Culture 66.3% 789W/401L 91 $46,011
🌤 Weather — 2 $282
🔬 Science — 2 $282

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

149 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 10,000 0.816 $8,155.00 $3,155.00 +63.1%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in August 2026? No 2,000 0.999 $1,997.00 $-1.00 -0.1%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 10,000 0.184 $1,845.00 $-3,155.00 -63.1%
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? No 1,800 0.989 $1,779.30 $-1.80 -0.1%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? No 1,475 1.000 $1,473.93 $3.91 +0.3%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? No 1,049 1.000 $1,048.43 $0.57 +0.1%
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? No 1,041 1.000 $1,040.48 $0.56 +0.1%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 1,600 0.415 $664.01 $578.56 +677.1%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in August 2026? No 500 0.998 $499.00 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 500 0.980 $490.00 $22.00 +4.7%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? Yes 2,600 0.185 $481.00 $381.00 +381.0%
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in August 2026? No 500 0.875 $437.50 $-12.50 -2.8%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? Yes 2,600 0.165 $429.00 $329.00 +329.0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? Yes 2,600 0.155 $403.00 $303.00 +303.0%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? No 400 0.999 $399.40 $1.40 +0.4%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 1,600 0.245 $392.00 $330.47 +537.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 2,100 0.178 $374.85 $233.98 +166.1%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? Yes 2,600 0.125 $325.00 $225.00 +225.0%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 300 1.000 $299.84 $5.37 +1.8%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? No 300 0.999 $299.55 $0.45 +0.2%
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No 300 0.991 $297.30 $14.20 +5.0%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? No 300 0.987 $295.95 $1.95 +0.7%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? No 300 0.922 $276.60 $-4.90 -1.7%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? Yes 2,600 0.105 $273.00 $173.00 +173.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? No 300 0.875 $262.49 $-6.50 -2.4%