PnL (30d)

+$954

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+46.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

56%

63W / 50L · 7 open

Win Return (30d)

58%

70W / 50L

Trades (30d)

120

across 22 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$45.44

avg win $168 · loss $66

Profit Factor

2.31

$1,683 won / $729 lost

Reward / Risk

2.54

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$436

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	30.0% 173W/404L	98	$10,729
🏛 Politics	78.6% 11W/3L	5	$603
🎬 Culture	78.6% 11W/3L	5	$603

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	100	0.475	$47.50	$2.50	+5.6%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 6?	Yes	982	0.035	$34.37	$-8.45	-19.7%
Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	Yes	932	0.034	$31.22	$19.76	+172.5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6?	Yes	113	0.235	$26.59	$8.49	+46.9%
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	Yes	329	0.065	$21.40	$-11.52	-35.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 6?	Yes	595	0.025	$14.88	$-5.92	-28.5%