PnL (30d)

−$97

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-13.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

39%

74W / 116L · 1 open

Win Return (30d)

39%

74W / 117L

Trades (30d)

191

across 137 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$0.71

avg win $5 · loss $5

Profit Factor

0.75

$283 won / $380 lost

Reward / Risk

1.03

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$36

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	45.7% 202W/240L	328	$2,642
🌤 Weather	52.9% 18W/16L	31	$217

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

21 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	19	0.778	$15.08	$10.08	+201.6%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 5?	No	10	1.000	$9.99	$4.99	+99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	9	1.000	$8.62	$3.62	+72.3%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 5?	Yes	65	0.105	$6.80	$1.80	+36.0%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 5?	No	8	0.820	$6.72	$1.72	+34.4%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 5?	Yes	6	0.998	$6.48	$1.48	+29.5%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	16	0.389	$6.35	$1.35	+27.0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on August 5?	No	6	1.000	$6.09	$1.09	+21.9%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 5?	No	11	0.455	$4.82	$-0.18	-3.7%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	26	0.180	$4.68	$-0.32	-6.4%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 5?	No	9	0.460	$4.19	$-0.81	-16.3%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 5?	Yes	10	0.285	$2.88	$-2.12	-42.5%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	65	0.010	$0.65	$-4.35	-87.0%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 5?	Yes	75	0.001	$0.08	$-4.92	-98.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 5?	Yes	55	0.001	$0.03	$-4.97	-99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	29	0.001	$0.01	$-4.99	-99.7%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	18	0.001	$0.01	$-4.99	-99.8%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	15	0.001	$0.01	$-4.99	-99.8%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	15	0.001	$0.01	$-4.99	-99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5?	No	9	0.001	$0.00	$-5.00	-99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 5?	No	7	0.001	$0.00	$-5.00	-99.9%