manin7
0x68354620ee0d3f1b5aec21c4692a634eae5bf97a
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$3
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-8.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
88%
7W / 1L
Win Return (30d)
88%
7W / 1L
Trades (30d)
8
across 8 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$0.43
avg win $0 · loss $5
Profit Factor
0.34
$2 won / $5 lost
Reward / Risk
0.05
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $11 · all-time $1,535,890
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
80.0%
24W/6L
|
28 |
$163 |
|
💵 Economy
|
100.0%
2W/0L
|
2 |
$10 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
250 |
0.595 |
$148.75 |
$-0.75 |
-0.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
250 |
0.405 |
$101.25 |
$1.25 |
+1.2% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
15 |
0.460 |
$6.78 |
$1.66 |
+32.4% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
22 |
0.278 |
$6.12 |
$1.00 |
+19.6% |
| Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings? |
Yes |
5 |
0.953 |
$5.06 |
$-0.11 |
-2.2% |